Minggu, 10 Juli 2011

[E639.Ebook] Get Free Ebook The Art of Thinking Clearly: Better Thinking, Better Decisions, by Rolf Dobelli

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The Art of Thinking Clearly: Better Thinking, Better Decisions, by Rolf Dobelli

The Art of Thinking Clearly: Better Thinking, Better Decisions, by Rolf Dobelli



The Art of Thinking Clearly: Better Thinking, Better Decisions, by Rolf Dobelli

Get Free Ebook The Art of Thinking Clearly: Better Thinking, Better Decisions, by Rolf Dobelli

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The Art of Thinking Clearly: Better Thinking, Better Decisions, by Rolf Dobelli

The Art of Thinking Clearly by world-class thinker and entrepreneur Rolf Dobelli is an eye-opening look at human psychology and reasoning — essential reading for anyone who wants to avoid “cognitive errors” and make better choices in all aspects of their lives.

Have you ever: Invested time in something that, with hindsight, just wasn’t worth it? Or continued doing something you knew was bad for you? These are examples of cognitive biases, simple errors we all make in our day-to-day thinking. But by knowing what they are and how to spot them, we can avoid them and make better decisions.

Simple, clear, and always surprising, this indispensable book will change the way you think and transform your decision-making—work, at home, every day. It reveals, in 99 short chapters, the most common errors of judgment, and how to avoid them.

  • Sales Rank: #7743107 in Books
  • Published on: 2014-05-08
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 7.80" h x .87" w x 5.51" l, .84 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback

From Booklist
*Starred Review* Why do we stay in bad relationships or stubbornly hold on to failing investments? Dobelli, author and founder of Zurich.Minds, a community of thinkers, explores the natural tendencies we have to think illogically and how we can overcome them. This is not a facile how-to book but a serious examination of the faulty reasoning that leads to repeated mistakes by individuals, businesses, and nations. Among the logical errors Dobelli explores are survivorship bias, or systematic overestimation of the chances for success, and social proof (otherwise known as herd mentality), or feeling that an action or decision is correct because so many others are doing the same thing. Herd mentality is often demonstrated in the stock market, triggering bubbles and panics alike. Dobelli warns against the influence of so-called experts, news anchors, beautiful people, teams of workers, and others, cautioning readers to learn to think clearly for themselves. He offers some 99 common errors, drawing on social science, psychology, economics, and politics for amusing and sobering examples of the failure to think logically. In this fascinating book, Dobelli does not offer a recipe for happiness but a well-considered treatise on avoiding “self-induced unhappiness.” --Vanessa Bush

Review
“A fireworks show of insights into how our minds work. If you want to avoid tripping on cognitive errors, read this book.” (Iris Bohnet, Professor and Academic Dean, Harvard Kennedy School, Director of the Harvard Decision Science Laboratory)

“Dobelli examines our most common decision-making failings with engaging eloquence and describes how to counter them with instructive good sense.” (Robert Cialdini, author of Influence)

“…a serious examination of the faulty reasoning that leads to repeated mistakes by individuals, businesses, and nations…In this fascinating book, Dobelli does not offer a recipe for happiness but a well-considered treatise on avoiding ‘self-induced unhappiness.’” (Booklist (starred review))

“…easy-going prose…what [Dobelli] does is pinpoint exactly the assumptions, bias and illusions that shape our thinking and decision-making processes in both business and personal relationships that can cost us dearly as individuals and as a society.” (Financial Times)

From the Back Cover

We are all guilty of cognitive biases, simple errors we make in day-to-day thinking. But by knowing what they are and how to identify them, we can avoid them and make better choices. The Art of Thinking Clearly shows that in order to lead happier, more prosperous lives, we don't need extra cunning, new ideas, shiny gadgets, or more frantic activity—all we need is less irrationality. Simple, clear, and always surprising, this book will change the way you think and transform your decision making. From why you should not accept a free drink to why you should walk out of a movie you don't like, from why it's so hard to predict the future to why you shouldn't watch the news, The Art of Thinking Clearly helps solve the puzzle of human reasoning.

Most helpful customer reviews

6 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Do more research on books on this topic before buying this one.
By Socrates
Save your money. Go to Wikipedia and look up "cognitive bias" and "cognitive biases" and branch out from there. This book starts out with a small stumble by leading off on the topic of Survivorship BiasThis book starts out with the stupidity right from the start. For example the second chapter is "Does Harvard Make You Smarter? - Swimmer's Body Illusion." He in effect claims that swimming won't improve your physique and going to Harvard and graduating won't help become better educated. Another example is in chapter 9 "Don't Bow to Authority...." He claims that no economists predicted the timing of the 2008 financial crisis, except Nouriel Roubini and Nassim Taleb. Well the fact of the matter is that a lot of economists warned of it and many of them predicted the timing as accurately as Roubini and Taleb. I guess maybe he mentioned them to butter them up after plagiarizing them. Even so there's only some small reason to give any of them a lot of credit since they could easily be beneficiaries of survivorship bias that he railed against in the first chapter. It goes on and on like this.

I'll tell you one thing, I almost always do a little more research before buying a book like this, but this time I got lazy. Hopefully I won't make that mistake again soon.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Great gift to those who hate to make mistakes.
By Amir
This is type of book you wish you could read before and could keep it excerpts always handy. Very concise chapters, amazing examples, great philosophy, no bulls***. The writer is really original and his advices can help all ranges of decisions from investment to life events. Realistic and pragmatic approach to strategic thinking for life.
What I loved about the book so far
1) Feel-good is mostly bulls***
2) Follow what you are good at, not the cover of magazines
3) Stop when needed, dont get foolled by sunk costs.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Wonderful read. Totally worth it!
By Amazon Customer
I typically don't have much time to read full on novels nor do I have a desire to. This book is the opposite... it's just enough information to get the point across with very whitty metaphors and real-world examples. Any User Experience designer or psychology practitioner should own this book - it helps dive a bit deeper into the frailties of the human mind and gives you a better understanding of how we all work.

My favorite part about this book is how easy it is to skim if you're looking for quick refreshers of information - definitions are clearly labeled so you can gather a quick understanding of a term without an anecdote if you desire.

See all 218 customer reviews...

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